Saturday, December 26, 2020

The Power of Trump

The Power of Trump.

Why fascism is attractive to some voters.

Why is religion attractive to some voters?

Why are conspiracy theories attractive to some voters?

Why is faith praised?

Because it serves some human con man somewhere and unless you're the con man, the person it's serving ain't you. 

So maybe you might try hiring the best con man around to represent you. You know he's a con man, but he promised to con everyone in your favor! We call that the long con. You join the con and you still get stiffed. Such is life. At least I'm conning everyone else more than I'm getting conned!

I have never seen the attractiveness of living in a fascist state where the prosecutorial power of the state was run by a transactional plutocrat who's sole goal was to suck money out of you in return for 'favors.' The most common favor is not getting beaten up or arrested. The money is in the form of donations to the candidates or the parties (limited, attributed) or to Super PACs supporting the candidate (unlimited, unattributed). 

This is what the local mafia don, crooked cop or corrupt politician does. That's called called the protection racket and it's illegal. That's what the 1970 RICO laws were written to prevent. It's ironic that the lawyer and President Nixon signed the RICO law, then a few years later the threat of using it on him (for ordering the burglary of the Democratic Headquarters in the watergate) made him resign from office, it seemed very fitting.

Supposedly, the politician only goes after more lucrative deals. Politicians sell tax breaks to billionaires and corporations. 

This is not just the Republican's that have done this in the past... Bush the younger did it and the Democrats agreed and the country crashed a few years later in the Great Recession. 

The Great Recession was as bad as the response to COVID-19 where we shut down everything that is non-essential. That was really bad. The cash flow of the world dropped as much as during a worldwide lockdown during the pandemic. The Great Recession was a very bad flu caused by a group of corporations that got paid money to evaluate and pronounce risk. 

Other companies and other people around the world relied on this group to reliably predict the future value of loans. The corporations had been doing this for over one hundred years. The companies used to be partnerships. Partners are liable for what their Partnerships do. If the partnership bilks old ladies out of billions of dollars, they are personally responsible for paying them back. The Partners converted these Partnerships to Corporations. Specifically, Limited Liability Corporations, where they just owned a percentage of the company. Now magically, if the new company bilked old ladies out of billions of dollars, then the partner could lose their investment, but was now not personally liable for anything else. The partners were rich and the old ladies were now out of luck. 

Not only where the old ladies out of luck, but this new corporation could sell itself to the public, who also could only lose their investment and were not personally liable for the consequences of what their money was paying for, like bilking all those old ladies out of their life savings. Or stealing money from everyone who lived in California by faking bids on electricity to control the outcomes of auctions? Nope, you could do that, earn a bunch of money illegally, then not give it back by declaring bankruptcy. Perfectly legal if it was just an honest mistake? Enron was an extreme case that shows the basic bankruptcy of the capitalist system. 

Typically the fine for breaking the law is just factored in as a cost of doing business. For a corporation, it's acceptable to break the law and pay a fine; not admit to guilt, but continue in business without correcting the failure. Again, this is why corporations are amoral and why capitalism as practiced today is a bankrupt theology that is used to steal the wealth of the average person.

The US Government treats corporations as 'people' if they can. This means they can take the rights of a person as declared in the constitution - they can enter into contracts, they can own things, they can agree to have you give up your constitutional rights to a government trial by your peers in their contracts. In other words, whatever is agreed to in the contract cannot be countermanded by any existing law, if the corporation's extra-legal (outside of government) system doesn't agree. And the US Supreme Court has agreed that this is constitutional. You can give up your constitutional rights if you want to. Illogical and unbelievable, but the state of the world we are currently living in.

I guess the "inalienable" part of the Declaration of Independence didn't mean what everyone thought it meant. At least not according to the current Chief Justice of the Supreme Court who has ruled in this way multiple times. The founding document of United States of America states that:

We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness

Everybody agreed, in the founding document of the American Republic, that all men have unalienable rights that the government could not take away; and that these were not their only rights. In addition to equal treatment and the rule of law, Science and Religion agreed that some of the most important rights were:

  •  Life,
  •  Liberty, and the
  •  Pursuit of Happiness.
But wait, didn't I just say the Supreme Court has been ruling that it's perfectly legal for you to give up your unalienable rights? What does unalienable or inalienable mean? According to every dictionary I could find it: "refers to that which cannot be given away or taken away". That doesn't seem like the current Supreme Court agrees with this, does it? 

Ah, but remember, the Declaration of Independence does not have the force of the rule of law. It's just an aspirational argument for how a government should be constructed. It was a declaration of rebellion against the rule of a foreign King.

The amazing thing about it was that it was not a plea to another King to come and run the country, it was a plea to let the people run their own government using Democratic principles. The first time in modern history that a group of people banded together to provide their own government.

Remember that the first version of the government of the United States of America was documented in the Articles of Confederation  and Perpetual Union of the states and lasted for more than a decade before it was overturned and the current constitution was instantiated as the law of the country. 

So the constitution was supposed to be written in the spirit of the justification for it, right? 

The founding fathers gave it their best try and it's still probably the best way to run a government, or at least it's been able to provide the most increase in economic output compared to any other system of government. But it's not perfect. 

The Constitution doesn't guarantee safety from the hazards declared in the Declaration of Independence. Apparently, the current Constitution doesn't even guarantee that you can't give up your unalienable rights. The Declaration of independence says we all have them, but the Constitution cannot be used to let the power of the state enforce them if you give away that which you cannot give.  

We all agree that you can't give them away, but if you do, the state will not enforce these rights. The state will not enforce the rule of law and protect you. In other words... if you agree to the latest 'shrinkwrap' contract for the use of software, you give up your rights of trial by jury or your peers, one of your inalienable rights, the right of the rule of law. You must now negotiate individually for your rights and you cannot use the courts of the government to enforce your inalienable right. It's almost as if you 'agreed' to be a slave or belong to a cult... after opening their software they are now allowed to blackmail and threaten you to keep you in their thrall and it's perfectly legal because you gave them permission to break the law in return for something (a program to run and it's a license, you don't even own this software.)

So the Constitution is flawed. It apparently can't be used to enforce the basic unalienable rights of Americans.

There are two ways to fix this problem. The goal is that we should make the Constitution enforce more of the Declaration of Independence than it does currently. Either change the members of the Supreme Court or rewrite or amend  the Constitution.

Or the Supreme Court could just change its mind and decide that one of the responsibilities of the US government is to enforce the inalienable rights of Americans. That would take the passing of several judges, realistically this will take many years and the Democrats (since Republicans and their judges think it's a great idea to allow you to be thrown into slavery) must manage to get both the Senate majority and the Presidency at the same time.

This seems unlikely in the near term. Given an average age of death of around 80 for an American these days, looking at the data, it seems that the next President may have a reasonable chance of appointing two judges to the bench, if the Democrats manage to get a Senate majority, which seems unlikely at the moment.



Figure 1. Average expected lifespan of the current Supreme Court.


But what are the chances that the Democrats come up with another two Senate seats in the near future? Given that the Republicans still own the majority of the state legislatures and will continue to shamelessly gerrymander and disenfranchise Democratic voters, and the Supreme Court will let them get away with this [1] when they wouldn't let these obviously racist systems get away with discrimination for the last 50 years. This is essentially saying that all the work done to pass the 14th, 19th and several other amendments to extend those inalienable rights to all people at all times, the life work of such people as Abraham Lincoln, isn't really a good idea. The radical right, represented by the Republicans, would rather extend these rights to groups of their fellow travellers (amoral corporations) who could then take away the rights of everyone else, legally, without cost and without retribution or punishment. The radical right is now arguing that disenfranchisement and slavery are A-okay with them. Because this is the only way they can stay in power. Make no mistake about it. It's going back to the time when 'Separate but equal' is acceptable, when discrimination is acceptable and when their friends grab power in a state, whatever they do to hold onto that power is acceptable. 

This is unacceptable to me and to the vast majority of Americans.

This has caused many Americans to become concerned about enforcing their inalienable rights. And the right and the left react differently to this threat. 

The right is afraid of being forced to do something against their wishes, thus they want the ability to forcefully resist this ipso-facto 'violent' (I can do whatever I want and if you tell me differently, even if it harms you, then just tough shit) compulsion, which is supposedly the worst thing that can happen to them. Which is why they naturally resist wearing masks, seatbelts, helmets, permits, inspections and insist on private property and public property that they can pollute and use however they wish. 

The left is afraid of being killed off by actions of others, by being shot at, by being discriminated against, by redlining, by systemic racism, by unequal enforcement of laws, of not being able to vote or to have your rights protected in a court of law. 

The right is against any tax, as that is theft of personal property. You can't force me to cooperate with you for the common good! They think the value returned by collective action can't be of enough benefit to myself and everyone else to justify the forced cooperation, that's just not how insurance works in the real world! And if it is really of benefit to everyone, some person should make money off it!  It shouldn't be left up to a government bureaucracy, it should be up to some monopolist that has no incentive to be moral at all. We should let some corporation (that can harm you and escape punishment from the government) run every collective action. 

The left would much rather have these kind of life and death decisions made by a government that is bound to follow the rules of law or they will get ejected from control and new handlers will be brought in through voting. This is the ultimate control over the threat of government: vote them out. (Another thing the radical right can't stand - letting people vote.)

However, if some of the branches of government are gerrymandered into preventing their change due to self-serving state legislators (as happened in 2010 and is probably going to happen again in 2020, this time with the Supreme Court's go ahead to discriminate against anyone, even other political parties) it won't be very easy to have the belief in inalienable rights be reinstated in our government. 

The Supreme Court decided it's okay to change their minds, ignore all precedent and declare the Voting Rights act unconstitutional because it's not the same as it was 50 years ago, when the civil rights law was passed; which isn't the same as it was 100 years ago during the Jim Crow era, which isn't the same as it was 150 years ago when we had a civil war against slavery. 

This is the sorriest excuse for taking away people's inalienable rights ever constructed. It's the argument that shows that the radical right's 'originalist' method of deciding the law isn't a legitimate way of reasoning, it's just an excuse to decide whatever you want. And it's slowly eroding the legitimacy of the Supreme Court itself.

No, the argument hasn't changed since the Constitution was written, it's exactly the same. If there is any way for white supremacists to disenfranchise the rights of others, they will figure out a way to game the system to make it happen. The tyranny of the majority. Soon to be the tyranny of the major minority.

And this is what really has the radical right scared, They will be just one faction among many, which means they would have to finally respect the rights of everyone. They would have to negotiate equal treatment for everyone. They are no longer the largest faction that held out for special rights in the original constitution and threatened to go home if they didn't get these extra rights. They are a controlling minority  that made sure that these rights could be taken away from citizens in their states and that the federal government couldn't stop it. 

Yes, those states that caused the last American civil war are where this faction has majority representation. And according to the current Supreme Court, this is the way it's supposed to be. We've had the Civil Rights act and the Voting rights act as law on the books for too long. Those original white supremacists are now dead... well most of them are dead, so they can no longer discriminate against anyone, so all of those civil rights laws are just superfluous! Separate but equal is just fine. Different legislatures elected by different groups of people that have different powers but still somehow want to support the same policies of discrimination and disenfranchisement is just fine with the current Supreme Court. 

All Men are Created Equal will not be enforced by the current Supreme Court. THey've made it very clear that they will not use the Constitution to enforce these rights. States are now officially allowed to discriminate, disenfranchise and just plain play favorites. Equality under the law is not something this Supreme Court is interested in enforcing because there's just too many 'others' out there: they'd just vote themselves bread and circuses, like the radical right is trying to do for itself and its billionaire oligarchs.

They believe that they can't defend the right to vote on those people: they might vote to take something from us, like forcing me to work together on common goals or restrain me from burning the earth down so I can have my latest gas-guzzling monster truck get me to work for a few cents less a mile, never mind that it will kill all of us soon enough, it's my RIGHT to screw you!

It's all about today and efficiencies. Which is really short sighted. Innovation only occurs with restraints. Monopolies find it much easier to collect rents rather than actually innovate and improve efficiencies. The more of the externalities of a monopoly you make them pay for, the better they respond to and the more efficient they are forced to become. Forcing amoral corporations to protect humans forces them to pay attention to the survival of the planet, in other words forces them to become moral or go out of business. This is the only way to force corporations to be moral. 

But as we discussed before, it's not really that efficient. It does force a trade off between human suffering and money. How much is your life worth these days? The court system thinks it's about $9 million. So if a corporation kills you it's deemed a fair trade if they give your heirs $9 million. No other punishment needed. This values the entire human capital on the planet as $720 trillion (considering a person lives many years.) That's pretty close the current estimates of total capital in the world.

The US has the lion's share of this capital. But we let the billionaire oligarchs control it and keep it to themselves and use it to warp our economy and our government. A small 1% property tax on this wealth would be more than enough to pay for basic access to medical care, food and shelter for every American. The country is way, way, way, way rich enough to afford to do all of this. Not doing it is just being selfish. [2]

But let's get back to the whole reason I started to write this blog...

What's the Attractiveness of the Power of Trump?

How can we understand the Power that Trump and fascism has over a large group of America's voters? What's the moral bargain these voters are making? Why do they think this con man can give them what they want? What do they want? They want to be special. They want to be in control. They want to be the arbiters of rights that they can reserve for themselves. They want to exploit other American's because of who they are. This is fundamentally immoral, you cannot control who you are, who your parents where, and if your rights depend upon this... that certainly doesn't meet the lofty goals put forth in the Declaration of Independence. 

But most of them aren't bold enough to admit that they are subscribers to the ultimate identity group: white assholes. They try to hide their agenda by the right to be separate but equal. Just let us do whatever we want and we'll be nice. Let us discriminate in the name of our religion and our race, and it will be okay! Really! Even though this has been declared unconstitutional many times. So they have to hide it deeper. They have to pretend that laws cannot be enforced equally on everyone because... it might infringe on their right to practice their religion. This is what religious liberty ia all about: the right to break the laws you don't agree with and to not be held accountable. The right to be immoral. 

This is the bargain these Americans have made with Trump and with the GOP. Not the bargain the left has made to try and save the world and humanity, but the ability to maim and rape and steal without consequences. The right to shirk your duty, shirk your patriotism and shirk your responsibilities. Trump is a veritable advertising agency for this flouting of the basic freedoms and rights of Americans. And what's the best way to force the state to let you break the law? Stop them from enforcing it.

Republicans lately and conservatives and the radical right have worked very hard over many generations to make their voters think that the worst thing that can happen is letting the government do anything. Social Security - collective savings plan with government guarantees and efficient redistribution of your own money? THAT'S AN EVIL ENTITLEMENT PROGRAM! We should privatize it so that corporations and Republicans can bilk American's out of their money and keep it for themselves. 

These so called conservatives (as they call themselves) even howl at the thought that they might have to recommend the financial assets that are best for their customers (and not what makes the most money for the salesman.)  For some reason the horror of actually enforcing regulations that cause corporations to do what is best for Americans is one regulation too far!  They would much rather fight to the death to keep Americans a vast sea of uneducated marks to be conned. Even better if it can be legal to con them, with no restitution allowed. NOW THAT'S REALLY EVIL. And that's also why I supported Elizabeth Warren for President. There is no one who better  understands the destruction and mayhem these rules cause to our country.

The argument continues to its logical conclusion: The EPA is an oppressive, evil arm of government. Even though it was instantiated by a Republican (Nixon) and even though it's saved millions of deaths. It's still a bad, bad thing in the radical right's eyes. If they want to build a house and let their sewage run into the street, it should be their right to do so. "I'm dumping my sewage on my property and just because it runs off onto your property and gets you sick, that's not my responsibility, it's your problem!" It's your responsibility to keep yourself safe, not mine to stop harming you. And if I can manage to create a monopoly and squeeze a few dollars out of everyone in the country by killing people with pollution, that's okay, I can become a billionaire in a few years. And then I can use that money to make sure that I can continue to screw everyone for a small, insubstantial fee relative to the amount of money I am stealing. It's might makes right and nothing else. It's immoral.

But wait... Why would I risk putting a Con Man in charge? 

This gets us back to what legislators do; do for a living, that is: They pass laws and they spend money on getting people to elect them. But they don't spend their own money (rarely or I would claim never): They spend your money. They spend your hard earned donations. Which we have learned at the beginning of this blog, they can collect an unlimited amount and with no attributions as long as they were 'separate' from the campaign. 

O.
ur legislators can take a small amount of bribes as long as they are publicly recorded. They can now take as much as they want, secretly, as long as they profess there is no corruption. It's not even if there is the appearance of corruption, that's not enough to prevent any particular practice or incident. It's only if there is absolute evidence of corruption, a quid pro quo as it were. There's no need to recuse yourself from a compromising situation, just say that it won't affect your vote, then vote however you wanted to in the first place. Even though the vote has a personal effect, you can convince yourself that your vote is not self-serving, and if you can, it's perfectly fine to vote however you want. 

And that's what it comes down to. If you want to be elected you need to do whatever makes the donors happy. Because to get elected you need to do what the donors want, if you do they will continue to give you donations. And what do the donors want. The only ones that matter are those that want to pay less taxes. The more you pay in taxes, the more you can spend on getting the laws changed to save you some tax money. And we've seen this phenonment increase and accelerate over the decades since taxation and corporations have collided.  Remember, limited liability corporations are an ideal way to increase the rate of accumulation of wealth. Since the 1600's when they were first started, the sources of power in the world were religions, royalty and ownership of land (and the people who live on it.) With the addition of the corporation, or groups of people protected by the royalty from retribution beyond the amount of ownership of the company, these immoral corporations become a fourth and growing source of power in the world.

And they've worked hard to become stronger, to be more selfish, to be more efficient, to export more of their costs to society as a whole, to do whatever they want to whoever they want wherever they want whenever they want without retribution. And they've been pretty successful at preventing any restraints on their actions. What's the latest restraint they've been trying to get rid of? Regulations! They're all bad, especially if they cause me to spend money. I don't want to spend money hooking up my sewer, it's cheaper to dump the feces on the ground and wash them into the river. I can just spill whatever I want on my property because it's mine, it's my air to pollute. Too bad if you have to breathe it, too. The other regulation they've figured out they can manipulate in their favor is the tax rate. There are about 200 countries and thousands of municipalities in every country that can pass tax laws. Corporations can get these municipalities to compete with each other as it is assumed that the corporation is bringing a local gain to the municipality be it's increased efficiencies, jobs and investment in the community. Not only that, but the politicians can get paid for changing these laws. In the United States you can take money from a donor to get you elected and let his lobbyist write whatever tax law they want. What do you care? Do you care that the tax law is fair and good? Nope. You live by the myth that the 'invisible hand' will take care of that, nobody could be so self-serving as to take advantage of a system of complicated tax laws to give themselves an advantage? Of course not, and if they do, it's really good for all of us 'cause. No need to determine if tax laws are discriminatory, because even if they are, there must be some 'invisible hand' that turns my greed into the markets best guess as to what is good for everyone. 

But that's not how it works. And everyone knows this. On the right and on the left. And it's scary. And who do you want out there as the head of this scary government that can give anything to anyone and can sell laws to any donor and can prevent the enforcement of any laws that have been passed in the past? If you're naturally prey to conspiracy theories, if you believe that you have to believe whatever your current cult leader believes... you want to have the scariest, most manipulative cult leader alive so that he can control this wild west through his wiles and his corruption. And you'd better do whatever insane thing he wants you to do or your going to be in trouble. Just make sure he claims to be looking out for you. And you can believe whatever he says, because it's easier and it take so much less effort. You can root for and support whatever idiot happens to be in power! It's great entertainment and you can ignore the corruption of the systems and the corruption of the leader because he tells you in the long run it's going to get better. Don't look at what's going on now, any any ways it's not your problem, there's people that are worse off than you and you don't need to help them, in fact you can celebrate your superioress and punish them for their unspecified sins. Not only are all people not created equal, but we're equal and you're not. Separate but unequal. The best of both worlds for the last society on earth to support slavery. We're better now so you don't have to 'regulate' us. Even if we all agreed that we hadn't followed the rules and started breaking the rules the second you let us, we've changed. We try not to admit we aren't following the rules anymore. 

And we need someone that's will ignore the whole law thing and corruption thing and be the most efficient in grabbing that power and using it to aggrandize themselves. Maybe I can catch some crumbs that fall off of the Royal plate. If the President does it, it must be legal, as the last impeached Republican Presidents have said and still say. But no, more than half of American doesn't believe that is true. Appointing a President that knows how to get around the laws, that's just a mafia Don in populist clothing, is not a good idea. There is no 'invisible hand' that is going to save the country. There's just theater and corruption. You've talked yourself into believing the con man, of being pre-disposed to believe any conspiracy theory. Once you've gone that route, you have put yourself up for tyranny. You can't stop it. You can't believe in one conspiracy theory and when they tell you to believe in another you can't say, but wait, the earth being flat is not possible. What do you mean? You already believe in an invisible god that listens to your every desire and grants miracles. There's no evidence of any of that. But I can pretend there is and get you to pretend, too. So pretend with me. Pretend we're all equal and we deserve the help of the government and everyone else can just pull themselves up by their own bootstraps and get what I've got and kept, I ain't sharing any of it with anyone, and certainly not any one not from around here.

That's why you want the flashiest, fastest bullshitter to run the country. You want someone who says he's for you, whether he is or not, you want him to say he is. The more he lies about it the better it is! He can fight for you against himself! The ultimate battle: can the common man survive corruption without corrupting himself? Nope, so you should get the biggest corrupter to be in charge. At least he'll corrupt things faster and more efficiently and he'll protect my right to the American dream more efficiently than those trying to protect everyone. I want the right to fuck up the earth, kill people and get rich as easily as possible! And I want the most exploitive, cultist capitalist a$$hole in there because the 'invisible hand' will make sure it's best for everyone. 

The left can either be very patient and let demographics have their way with the country. Eventually this small minority of white supremacists can all live on their reservation in Wyoming and leave everyone else alone to run the world. Which is the United State's long term (centuries long) goal. It's not globalization, it's Americanization of the world. Amoral corporations want the 'rule of law' everywhere. They want predictability in their bribes and their ability to change the laws in their favor. Or buy the laws of their choice without remorse or consequences. The only way to fight this American disease spread to us by the Europeans, who've fought mightily to first rid the planet of Royalty, then contain the beast that the fight unleashed, is to let the descendants of those who've agreed with us into the country to reinforce that system to represent the world. The world is now rich enough that nobody has to starve. Nobody has to be homeless. Nobody needs to decide on health care or bankruptcy. Nobody needs to pollute the planet to make cheap energy. Nobody has to decide between pensions and infrastructure. Everyone has clean water because everyone wants it and works together to make it happen. And the rest of the world, which has followed America's lead for two centuries can continue to grow and wrestle with the evil beast of capitalism that allows groups to amass power in every increasing and growing amounts.

Or it could take the risk of calling a constitutional convention and rewrite the constitution to be unequivocal and clear in enforcing the ideals of the Declaration of independence. But that's risky. It could easily come out the other way where fascism is more likely and freedom is less likely. How much of a majority would the Left feel safe with holding when going into a constitutional convention? How many years before it makes sense? The right and it's billionaire donors is slowly realising it's really dying out and they're willing to take any risk at all to preserve their power over the conspiracy theories. Their right to believe in conspiracy theories and be rewarded for it! If they could put the ability to force legal slavery they would, they are. Separate and unequal is the goal. It is not the right goal for the United States, it's the selfish goal. The goal that does not push the human race to it's full potential. The goal that will condemn the world to a constant struggle that could easily be avoided, that is being avoided in most other countries. We need to lead the world in this are or we will be ignored. And that is a fate worse than death: To vote in the baddest mother fucker in the land of RealityTV, to vote in your hero bad ass and to have him be laughed at by the entire world and pitied. That's the worst fate of a spoined, bratty, self-serving group of cry-babies: to be ignored and left on the dust bin of history, fighting the last war and continuing to lose the battles. 

 as always, thanks for reading!
 - DrMike


[1] Allowing corporations to take your rights is the result of the current radical right Supreme Court, one of the most activist Supreme Courts in the court's history. They declared the Voting Rights Act was fundamentally unconstitutional, even though the legislative branch was unanimously approving it each year. And it has been declared constitutional for over 70 years. They claimed that things have changed. How a 'literalist' reading of the constitution can make a law suddenly unconstitutional is one of the mysteries of legal reasoning, what most people would call bullshit or twisting your fundamental views to support your ideas of supremacism. Mark my words, this will go down in history as the worst decisions since the Dred-Scott decision, which was an embarrassment to the Court that took a century to live down. And the conservatives couldn't wait to reinstate this terrible line of reasoning. 

[2] One of the arguments I've seen against universal health care is that it's just too expensive. People think it costs $10,000 to set a broken bone and $1,000,000 to cure cancer. No, that's what we get charged, not what it actually costs. Look at these costs around the world. The true costs are orders of magnitude less, we've just let amoral corporations grab the value chain, monopolize the services and extract a huge cost out of the country and into their pockets. This is why things like health care should never be left to capitalism. It just is incapable of maximizing the most good for the most people. It maximizes the most profit per person, not the most life and health per person. This is why there's no cold vaccine (and how we could have used that for this pandemic) but there's billions to be made on palliatives that don't even work. The incentives in the system are optimizing the wrong things. 









Sunday, September 6, 2020

A Modest Proposal for the Presidential Library of Donald J. Trump.

 I was reading the latest fiascos of Donald J. Trump and his aversion to showing reverence to the troops at cemeteries...when it gave me an idea that I think all red-blooded Americans can get behind and support.

To set the stage, we need to go back in history and see how other presidential estates have been turned into libraries, or cemeteries. In particular, it's educational to learn about what happened to Robert E. Lee's  estate in Arlington, Virginia. He inherited this estate from George Washington's adopted grandson. After the civil war, the United States seized the land for non-payment of back taxes (they didn't pay their property tax during the civil war...) then they turned Lee's front porch into a war memorial and a military cemetery. And they wouldn't pardon him, either. Lee went to his deathbed still a fervent white supremacists to the ends of his days. And we rewarded him by taking away his land and turning it into a cemetery to honor those he had helped to slaughter during the recent civil war. 

It seems like Donald J. Trump deserves better. We need some place to house all his tweets, television snafus, conspiracy theories, thrashing of international agreements and dog whistles of racism in one place so they can be evident for all to see. Since he doesn't read, he has no use for a library, but the American people do. We need to never forget what a kleptocratic con-man can do to this country. 

Trump is always looking for what's in it for him... so we could make a deal. Trump could donate Mar-a-lago back to the government (you probably didn't know it was a historical park for many years - and a possible Florida Whitehouse back in the 70's, but the park service thought it was too costly to maintain and the Secret Service thought it was too costly to defend) and in exchange the American people would promise not to lynch him and to build his library there.

Mar-a-lago would be a spectacular place for Trump's Presidential Library! There is no more appropriate place than Florida. We could let him stay there for as long as he likes and in return America would promise to not prosecute him for the many election fraud felonies, corruption scandals, emoluments violations and abuses of power that he has committed. He'd take that deal in a minute, he is, after all the King of the Deal! 


Maralago, on the Florida coast in Palm Beach. Two golf courses are just west of the club across the Lagoon and cover a few hundred acres. 


As it's a library and museum there's no need for a set of golf courses, instead, I propose that we turn the golf courses into the equivalent of Arlington Cemetery. We allow anyone who's died from COVID-19 to be allowed to be interned there. It's big enough we could fit every one of the probable 500,000 people he's going to end up killing because of his incompetence. If there was space left over, it could be a national debtor's graveyard, for all of those forced to go bankrupt to save their lives because of outrageous health care costs at any point because the insurance system in this country has been sabotaged by the Republican party for decades; it's only fitting to allow the dead to be memorialized there.



After the seizure the Club becomes the Donald J. Trump Presidential Library and the Golf courses become the COVID-19 Memorial Cemetery.

Does anyone think it's worthwhile setting up a non-profit organization with a fund-me to promote this idea? I think it is more than appropriate.

Thanks for reading!
 -DrMike
 6th of September, 2020, ~60 days before the coming Presidential election.


Sunday, July 5, 2020

What's Wrong With California? Utter Failure in Handling COVID-19 Pandemic in the US


China eradicated the virus in 90 days and it's economy is up and running again.

South Korea, Taiwan, Australia, Japan, New Zealand and many other countries have eliminated the virus and restarted their economies. 

Europe's death rate and case rate is continuing to go towards zero and it's economy has started to reopen.

This is not the case in United States? 
What is wrong with the United States?
Is it the same thing that was wrong with Kansas? [6]

Even worse: what's wrong with California?
Is it really too many Covidiots?
Methinks the data speaks for itself.
And the data says yes.

COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in California [5]

Since we ignored the obvious testing issues that would have allowed us to track, trace and isolate the virus into submission, we had to wait for a vaccine to have a hope of fixing it.

Cases: Note July is the first peak, when this was written. Boy did Trump Fuck it up BIGLY.



Deaths: And here's the deaths, Wow, did we screw this up big time. Everything after July was eminently preventable except for the Covidiots in the county.



California thought it was doing all the right things. We had a plan. It was all going to be over before the leaves turned orange. We were going to open up very slowly and carefully... but we never got the deaths low enough, or the cases low enough to ensure that the virus would be eradicated, so it isn't. The crazy thing about this is that we know what we have to do to eradicate this virus. It's not a secret. We've seen many countries figure it out. A hard lockdown that drives the virus to ground in three weeks. How hard could that be? Apparently too hard for a country led by a RealityTV producer; but not too hard for a country led by a former comedian: [7]

Cases of COVID-19 in Belarus


Cases per day in Chile, UK, Pakistan, Qatar and Belarus [3]

Somehow all of these countries have managed to send their cases nearly to zero by just locking down.  Something we seem unable to do in the US, except for the NYC area. So what have they done differently? Well in NYC about 15% of the population had it. This means that herd immunity would kicks when 1 - 1/Rt = 0.15 or Rt (the retransmission rate) is about 1.17. So with masks and physical distancing it appears that as long as NYC can keep Rt below 1.17, the virus will die out. And how do you keep the retransmission rate down? You test, track and isolate. 

New York State COVID-19 cases and deaths [4]

Testing tells you who has the disease. Tracking tells you who might have the disease. Isolation is the way to make sure nobody else gets the disease from those who are possibly infected. Every time you increase the interactions between people (open up the economy) or increase the probability of someone spreading the disease (don't wear a mask) you change Rt = N * Pn where N is the number of interactions and Pn is the probability of a particular interaction spreading the disease. This is why healthcare workers are infected at three times the rate of the general population; even though they are very careful and Pn is very small, they are around infected people all the time, so N is very large. Compared to a quarantined person a Nurse might have 25 times as many interactions with an infected person each day. In order to stop the rapid inundation of the hospital work force with the virus they have to reduce Pn by a factor of 25 just to stay even with the population at large.

But all of this is moot. China has shown us how to contain the virus: Test, track, isolate. They've done it three times. The original outbreak in Wuhan, a subsequent outbreak in Wuhan, and a small outbreak in Beijing. So has South Korea. Test everyone in the infected area and isolate those who are actually infected. China defined the infected area as the entire city of Wuhan at one point and performed eleven million tests in ten days to determine exactly who had the virus (about 150 people), isolated them and eliminated the retransmission to almost zero. The virus slowly dies out at this point. Reinfections from travelers can still occur, there is some small false negative rate of the testing procedures that will let infected people through, but with more testing, it can be limited to a rare event.

So we could do this in the United States. In fact, we could do it today with the right national coordination, with the current amount of testing, if we just did it right. Universities with large medical centers are doing it. Everyone at the University takes the tests to show that they are virus free before classes start, then you retake the test periodically to detect any transmissions. You track and isolate anyone who gets it so it doesn't spread. So for a University that can make it's own tests this seems like a viable proposition. 

For the United States, this isn't quite as straightforward. We don't have enough tests and we aren't increasing the number of tests fast enough.

Tests per day in US [1]

And here's how badly the previous guy failed at implementing testing: We had one more doubling of the testing rate and then he said, "Don't test, that just means we'll find more infections" What an a$$hole and fundamental Covidiot. My prediction: this is far from being over. Evolution of new variants world wide will require us to test to succeed. We should be continuing to develop instantaneous testing, if we don't we will fail again.




There doesn't appear to be any exponential growth in testing. We've only tested about 5-6 million people and we're adding new tests at the rate of 50,000 per week. For us to get enough tests to test everyone once it would take us many years, so let's hope our test creation doesn't stay linear, but actually starts to go more exponential. If we double the number of tests every month, we could test everyone in the US in another ten months. 

Another way to test everyone is to do batch testing. Since we know the average infection rate from our previous tests, we can test a bunch of people at once, with the same test, that will test positive if any of them do. To maximize the efficiency of the testing you want to make the number of samples in a test be as shown in the figure below where p is the probability of finding an infected person in the population at large. This probability can be estimated as k * Nt * Pr / PA, where Nt is the number of tests we run today, Pr is the rate of positive results, k is a factor for the missed people that are actually infected (estimated to be around 2 - 3 in the current state of affairs) and PA is the population of America.  Right now (July 4th) Nt = 700 k, Pr = 7.5 % and Pa = 350 million. So p is about k * 700 k * 7.5 % / 350 million or 1 out of 2000 people should test positive (p ~ 0.0005).

Pool Size for an expected positive test outcome percentage [2]

This says that if we tested the whole country we could do it with about 50 to 100 times fewer tests than testing everybody once. 350 million divided by 50 is 7 million tests. That's only ten times more tests per day than we do right now. If we could grow our test rate by a factor of ten and keep the virus curve flattened out (we're having a bit of trouble with this) we could then test everyone and isolate all the infected for two weeks to eradicate the virus. We should still work on a vaccine, but we should be spending almost any amount we can to increase the testing rate. The economy is losing $40 Billion per week. If each test cost $100 this would cost us less than $1B. We should be ready to do this multiple times, the pay back is huge, the uncertainty of this working is less than making a vaccine for a retrovirus (never been down before) or a corona family virus (never been done before) or bringing the vaccine to market safely in less than two years (never been done before.) 

Why isn't the federal government doing this? I have my opinions... And most of them say the failure in the current administration is driven from the top. When the conservative, republican ideology is to only do that which the leader proclaims to be a good idea and the leader doesn't understand science but only understands RealityTV production... well, we're screwed. Since this is more complicated than ratings or polls it must be baffling to the current holder of the highest office in the land. However, as soon as he is voted out in November, we can put this plan in place and be virus free by Christmas time. 

I'm feeling more optimistic than I was yesterday.

Have a merry Xmas!
Thanks for reading,
 -Dr.Mike


References:
[1] US test rate including positive test rate: https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/testing/individual-states
[3] Decreasing COVID-19 cases internationally: 
[4] Decreasing COVID-19 cases and deaths in NYC: 
[5] Increasing case rates in CA and decreasing death rates: 
[6] Believing things that are demonstrably untrue because a billionaire told you about it.
[7] I've always maintained that comedians are smarter than either actors or producers. They write their own material for at least part of their career, at least in the United States. 



Wednesday, April 29, 2020

Quantum Mechanics is weirder than you think. It might be weirder than anyone can think.

Reflections on "Experimental rejection of observer-independence in the quantum world" and an updated version "Experimental test of local observer-independence".

Are we quantum mechanical or not?

This paper basically proves that the famous Schrodinger's cat experiment, which says the cat is a quantum mechanical wave function is correct. The cat is actually in an entangled state which means the cat is alive and dead at the same time. That's pretty weird! But we an make it even weirder! Imagine, if you will, [1] that you are taking the place of Schrodinger's cat. We don't want to kill you so we'll modify the experiment in line with Deutsch's proposal and Wigner's interpretation. [2] The experiment performed above is exactly Deutsch's proposal and the result is that yes, you as the observer are in a superposition of quantum states.

What is you in that previous statement? You only ever remember one set of events. You never have any memory of being in two quantum states. It appears that consciousness can only be associated with one quantum state at a time. However it also appears that your consciousness is associated with every quantum state, viz., your consciousness splits into two versions, one associated with each quantum state. What happens to the various yous? There are two basic interpretations that are famous in quantum mechanics: the copenhagen interpretation and the multi-universe theory.

The Copenhagen interpretation says that when a measurement is made the entangled quantum state collapses. In other words, one of the quantum states disappears and the quantum system 'collapses' to the other state. Any measurement you make now will show the quantum system is in the second state. the other state is gone. If you don't make the measurement the entangled state continues to evolve and you can prove that it is still there by, for instance, making another measurement later. [3] There has never been any indication that this interpretation is 'wrong' in the eyes of the experimenter who makes the measurement. In any experimenter's view of the universe, this is exactly what happens.

Yes and No. We are not quantum mechanical in our own eyes, but we are in the eyes of others.

However, if you are taking the place of Schrodinger's cat, then to me, an observer outside the box,  you are in a quantum mechanical superposition of two different quantum states. We can actually prove this. In my eyes you are in a quantum mechanical superposition. In your eyes you are not. So what the heck is going on?

If I understand it correctly, it says that the universe looks different depending on who's looking at it. Now that's really weird, but not quite as weird as you might think. Relativity destroyed the idea that everything looks the same. Depending on how fast you are moving, the order of things happening that you observe compared to someone else can change. Events that are causal won't change, but the order of events that are not causally linked don't necessarily stay in the same order. Whew! That means that causality is not violated. Thank God and Einstein for that.

So the fundamental assumptions that are made in science are the following: locality and free choice. Locality means that two quantum mechanical wave functions can only influence each other when they are in the same place. There is no action at a distance. [4]  Free choice is that assumption that humans have free will. They can decide whether or not to make a measurement and the universe can't know ahead of time what that decision will be. [5] Or we aren't really running an experiment and it's all predetermined ahead of time.

The paper above is interesting in a couple of ways. First, it carefully defines a measurement as something done by an observer. A measurement means that an observer "extract[s] information from another system by means of some interactions, and store[s] that information in a physical memory." So even if the measurement is made, if it is not communicated to the outside world the quantum states stay in superpositions as far as the outside observer is concerned. Communicate the measurement value (not that a measurement has been made, but what measurement is made) and the superposition is broken. This seems to break the Copenhagen's interpretation of quantum mechanics... The wave function didn't collapse when the measurement is made. The wave function appeared to collapse for the observer in the box, they could predict future measurements that were dependent on the value of the measurement that occurred; but the wave function did not collapse for the observer outside the box. Their measurements were consistent with not having the wave functions collapse in the box. So who is right?

Everybody is right. The person in the box definitely made a measurement. The person outside does not know the results of that measurement, so they don't see the 'collapse'. Either the wave function somehow knows who/what is making a measurement on it when or... The many world's interpretation is correct. We are all quantum states, but consciousness splits and travels down only one path at a time. And you can never get back to the other path.

*Sigh* Yes, Quantum Mechanics is very weird.
Thanks for reading,
 -DrMike

---------------------------------------------------------

[1] Yes, this is from the Twilight Zone, and it's not a mistake or a pun, it's a possible plot that happens in the real world that is so frigging weird, it must be just from a television show. That it's what scientists think happens in REAL LIFE is the scary part.

[2] D. Deutsch, Quantum theory as a universal physical theory, Int. J. Th. Phys. 24, I (1985).
 E. P. Wigner, Remarks on the mind-body question, in: I. J. Good, “The Scientist Speculates” (London, Heinemann, 1961) and heavily using "On the quantum measurement problem", Caslav Brukner.

[3] This 'collapse' takes place instantaneously across the universe for all objects entangled together. This would seem to violate Einsteins laws of relativity that say no information can be transmitted faster than the speed of light. It turns out that it doesn't, if you assume the no-cloning-without destroying postulate, which, as far as we can tell is the way the universe works. The no-cloning postulate was proposed as a way to fix this paradox in 1982. It turns out that is was actually proved earlier in 1970 to show that any quantum measurement disturbs the quantum system.

[4] Side bar on gravity. Newton's theory of gravity assumes that the gravitational forces felt by two bodies was instantaneous and independent of distance: spooky action at a distance as Newton put it. He knew something was wrong with this theory. It turns out he was right, it's just a very good approximation to assume that the force is instantaneously transmitted between the two bodies. Einstein fixed this with his General Theory of Relativity. The forces (actually the warping of the field of space) travel at the speed of light. In most situations, it turns out that this looks like spooky action at a distance. Only in certain extreme conditions (like the orbit of Mercury, which is deep inside the grvity well of the sun) can you actually notice the difference between the two theories. And as Newton suspected, Einstein is correct and his theory is just an approximation of what we can measure. A very good approximation. So far as we can tell, Einstein's theory is exact. Although there are some 'paradoxes' when we try to reconcile it with Quantum Mechanics that hint it might not be complete and that there might be another "Theory of Everything" that would reduce to Einstein's theory in most cases, but explain away these paradoxes in the extreme cases.

[5] All those philosophers (and physicists) who claim free will doesn't exist need to reconcile their views with this postulate of science. The postulate of free choice says that there does not exist a deterministic universe. It says that the experimenter can choose which measurement to make and nothing that has gone on before can determine which choice the experimenter will make. Of course, if everything is determined ahead of time... then we are just in a simulation and our free will is an illusion. However, free will is an open postulate, you can assume we have it or not. Science works both ways. In one case, the measurements we make are predetermined, in the other case the measurement results are random. In the latter case we have free will. In the former case we don't. In the latter case some predetermined 'hidden variables' are causing the measurements to look random. The philosophy of Occam's razor leads me to believe in the former: Human's have free will and measurements can be made via free choice and their results are randomly distributed. Of course, if you think everything is predetermined and we are living in a simulation, why would this simulation be running? What is being simulated? It could only be different initial conditions. And why would anyone want to simulate that? Or we aren't in a simulation and everything is predetermined. There is absolutely no fun in that. No fun at all. I reject that position on the postulate that humans can have fun.









Thursday, April 23, 2020

A modest proposal to end the Flat Earth Society and put Silicon Valley on the map.



Flat Wrong the end piece in Scientific American, in the latest issue (May 2020) got me to thinking about how we could just end this idiocy that leads to many, many people being driven into believing obviously fallacious conspiracy theories.

  • Did we actually go to the moon? (hint: we did.) 
  • Was Obama born in Hawaii? (hint: yes.) 
  • Is he Muslim? (hint: no.) 
  • Is QAnon saying anything that's true? (hint: no.) 
  • Are the Jews trying to take over the world (hint: no.)
  • Are aliens here? (hint: no.)
  • Do humans cause Global Warming? (hint: yes.)
  • Have the Clintons murdered tens of people? (hint: no.)
  • Did the Russians help the Trump campaign? (hint: yes.)
  • Yada, yada, yada.
We can't actually have much proof against most of these fallacies, but the Flat Earth one, we can if we actually get high enough in the atmosphere to see the curvature of the Earth. You will convince some Flat Earthers they are wrong. Most will just come up with some other excuse and continue to try and justify the fun fact that they have been lied to for many years and they finally figured it out. That's why believing in a conspiracy theory is so fun! You've actually figured something out that has been confusing others. You know something they don't. You're smarter than everyone else because you have secret knowledge. It's all baloney, but it's still fun. At some level you know it's all baloney, but it's so fun to think about the puzzle, and if you have some underlying motive (hate those hoity-toity experts, hate that black president, hate those egg-head scientists, hate those liberals, or actually, it usually comes from jealousy in my opinion. It lets you excuse yourself that you haven't done as well as everyone else...) you can be impossible to convince.

Okay. So we want something else, too. Silicon Valley is famous worldwide for technology. It's been happening for decades. Back at the turn of the century one of the Robber Barons, who corrupted government officials, got a land grant, rights of way, built a railroad and then became fabulously wealthy, built a university to honor his son, who died of the flu at a young age. That's where Stanford came from. The university was supported with enough money to attract talent and expertise to rival any university on the planet. That was the founding point. Then it revved up with World War II: building critical equipment to help the war effort. All of a sudden Lockheed is there building planes. Hewlett-Packard & Varian & Watkins-Johnson are there building electronic equipment. Then technologists are driven out of their non-compete states to California where they build such things as the silicon chip (Fairchild, Intel, etc.), the personal computer (Apple), the laser printer (Adobe), lots of medical and radio equipment, networking (Cisco, Juno), the web (Google, Facebook, etc.) The technology coming out of the valley seems to be never ending. The GDP per person is one of the top three in the entire world and has been for many decades. So the place that used to be covered with orchards now produces the most complicated technology in the world. 

So it's rightly famous all over the world. However, when people come here what do they see? Not much. There are basically no buildings over six stories (they cost too much.) There's a couple of freeways. Lots of warehouses, no orchards anymore. Okay, we do have Apple Headquarters (pretty cool, but...) and ... that's about it and you can't really visit it. There's a 9" x 12" plaque that says "the silicon chip was invented here" outside of a strip mall. The original building has been torn down decades ago. Architecturally there's only San Jose City Hall (a very late edition.) 

San Jose City Hall exterior - San Jose, CA - DSC03903.JPG

A couple of buildings almost ten stories high in downtown San Jose (there's an airport nearby, so all the buildings are short.) So we need something that will really put Silicon valley on the map. What could that be?

A Modest Proposal for a Flat Earth Conspiracy Ending Ride in Silicon Valley. 

The basic idea is to build the most incredible combination of a Ferris Wheel, a balloon ride and a roller coaster, all world class and one continuous ride. Of course, it would also include a world class restaurant and history of technology museum. 

Here's the basic idea. Buy a large plot of land going up into the top of the Santa Cruz mountains, probably somewhere on highway 9. We need lots of parking and easy access as we'll need lots of people to support it.  How many? We'll figure that out later. 


So at the bottom of the hill the public comes in and parks. They are shuttled to a funicular train that takes them slowly up 2500 feet to the top of the mountain. While going up they can see all of Silicon Valley: Moffett field, San Jose, San Francisco Bay. A pretty amazing view!  


Gregor's Travel - In Flight

And what do they see at the top? They see the largest Ferris Wheel in the world.

The original Ferris Wheel (264 feet):


The largest Ferris Wheel today (550 feet):


Silicon valley's Ferris Wheel, three times as tall (over 1400 feet tall):
The ride takes about three hours. The cars hold around 50 people, there are bars & restaurants in some of the cars. And at the top, you can see all the way to San Francisco!

Silicon Valley, From 'Heart's Delight' to Toxic Wasteland (Opinion)


Which is an awesome view, a spectacular view! But... you can't see the curvature of the Earth at 4500 feet. You can see from San Francisco to Monterey, which is cool, but this won't convince any Flat Earther of any thing. That horizon looks pretty flat. How high do you need to get to see the curvature of the Earth?

It turns out you need to be about 80,000 feet high to see the curvature of the Earth. How do you get that high? The cars have to be airtight. We build a SkyBridge to take them up to 80,000 feet. We hook them up to balloons at the top of the wheel and spend three more hours going up and down a set of ropes held up by balloons. You get to see all the way from San Diego to Crater Lake in Oregon. You can see Las Vegas and Lake Tahoe. You can see the curvature of the Earth. How much would you pay to TRAVEL TO SPACE?


But wait. We aren't done yet. When you get back down you can take the lazy, sedate funicular train back down to the parking lot... or you can take the most amazing roller coaster in the entire world. The longest, fastest, most spectacular, roller coaster in the world. How do we do this?
Well, first we are starting at 2500 feet, so we go into a 700 foot drop right away, and it's inexpensive as we are going down the mountain side. We do a triple 360 degree loop and then the track ends halfway down, but the cars keep going because they are actually quadcopters and they do free open air loops! Wow! Then they put you back on the track and you do another record 1000 foot drop with three loops and a final 500 foot drop that is, by itself, the largest roller coaster in the world.



Anybody who likes roller coasters will LOVE this one. Three of the largest drops in the world. Extremely fast, smooth and the free flight will be amazing! (and make it safer.)

Now you may have some questions, like can you suspend a set of guide wires that can pull up the cars from 80,000 feet? Well, it turns out you can. you can buy the rope you need today (Kevlar rope of 7.5 cm thickness can individually hold itself up and the cars.) So if you make 10-20 ropes held up by balloons and each car has a pair of balloons helping to hold it up: it's safe, it's simple and it's doable.

And how much do we need to charge for a ride? Let's estimate how much it costs to build. The existing largest Ferris Wheel cost around $300 million. Ours is about 5x as big or $1.5 B. The SkyBridge is relatively cheap. The kevlar rope is cheap, the balloons are cheap, add another $500 million. The Mountain Roller Coaster can't be more than $500 million. Then a parking lot, a funicular and a museum, plus ancillary out buildings and a control tower, another $500 million. So that's about $3 billion dollars (less than the bay bridge.) It's about a six hour ride. So you can run it 18 hours a day and with 50 cars and 50 people per car you can run 5000 people through this system every day. So let's say you get money at 5% and pay off the loans over 30 years and your finance costs are 30-50% of your operating income (maybe a bit high.) To generate this income you need to charge around $300-$500 per ride. Free drinks for everyone! Blackjack and other gambling... are you outside of American jurisdiction or do you have to get an Indian tribe to go in with you? Gourmet food. And junk food. What more could you want? I'd take that ride, for sure!

Thanks for reading.
 -DrMike




Tuesday, April 21, 2020

@WSJ Idiocy again: “The Lockdown Rebellion”: No, "The Covidiot Death Parties"

An opinion piece from the @WSJ in their 'main street' section:

  • The Lockdown Rebellion

    Ordinary Americans protesting to reopen the economy face only contempt from elites.

    https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-lockdown-rebellion-11587400850

    —- it’s not a rebellion, it’s a corporate led PR stunt that the @GOP is exploiting. Billionaires are afraid their profits will diminish, they don’t care who dies. This is standard fare in the media ecosystem. You can get what you pay for.

    Here we go. I'll quote the opinion piece and point out the fallacies. What's the motivation? Who's gaining advantage? Who's financing this? Does it make sense? Who's dying? —-

    There they go again, ordinary Americans denying science and refusing to defer to their betters.

    — It starts with the typically sarcastic #FlameAndBlame tactics of the shills of the right. The unwashed masses are great! They can be manipulated into helping my billionaire overlords. So what's really going on? Nobody is deferring to their 'betters', they aren't deferring to those who have spent their lives learning, gaining expertise, putting in the sweat and work that is required to be a fully functioning member of this society. Some people expect that their privilege should get them things instead of their hard work. Sorry, it doesn't work that way. Too bad. —-

    In state capitals across the country [No, in a few carefully handpicked states], citizens are protesting the continued coronavirus lockdowns. A CNN critic calls them “Covid-19 deniers,” notwithstanding that the science they allegedly deny still lacks conclusive answers to some of the most fundamental questions about the coronavirus.

    —- ‘Protesting’? No. They are holding Death Parties (Notice the Confederate and Nazi flags.) The result will be their deaths and the deaths of others. They’ve been infected by the @GOP #DeathCult conspiracy theories. The billionaires don’t care if they live or die as long as they can juice the news cycle to get favorable PR sowing doubt on the opposition. It’s sad to see how exploited these Covidiots are. We'll talk about the science in a bit —-

    In the past week, demonstrations have broken out in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Idaho, Kentucky, Michigan, Minnesota, North Carolina, Utah, Virginia and Washington. In Pennsylvania the state legislature got into the act, [Oooooh! That's telling, yes it's an act, a partisan act] sending Gov. Tom Wolf a bill that would order much of the state re-opened more quickly than he would like. More protests are planned for this week.

    —- ‘broken out’. One in a hundred thousand people have been convinced to risk their lives and the lives of others to make a political point favoring billionaires and immoral corporations. And the billionaires and corporations are gleeful that their bullshit is working to confuse the serfs on the right. And they’ve sent their press flacks out in droves to support them. Did Andrew Carnegie care that multiple people died in his steel mills every day? Hell no. And neither do your corporate sponsors. —-

    So who are these people? Some are folks who fear a permanent expansion of government and worry when they hear leaders such as New Jersey Gov. Phil Murphy saying that constitutional considerations about lockdown measures are “above my pay grade.” Others are troubled by the First Amendment implications of politicians shutting down churches.

    —- Just No. These people have been agitated into lethal stupidity by billionaires and their corporate shills, like you. Attending any Death Parties soon, William? Or would you recommend sheltering in place? —-

    The do-as-I-say-not-as-I-do behavior of those imposing these rules isn’t boosting trust in authorities, either, whether it be Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot going out to get her hair done or New York Mayor Bill de Blasio being driven to his gym even as they were imploring everyone else to stay home. On Monday Mark Zuckerberg told George Stephanopoulos on ABC News that Facebook now classifies “a lot of the stuff” protesters are saying as “harmful misinformation”—and that Facebook will “take that down.”

    —- Yes. Even the greatest shill for corporate America and billionaire, Zuckerberg, sees that this is dangerous bullshit and will end up killing people. There you go using #FlameAndBlame tactics again with anecdata (anecdotal data that spins a story but doesn't tell the truth.) What about Trump's rallies? What about Ivanka's private jet flights? What about... you get the idea. Everyone makes mistakes but not all of us hold Death Parties that are going to get a bunch of Americans killed. This is exactly what you are advocating. Stop it. Stop it now. —-

    Lost in all this is that the protesters are for the most part simply struggling Americans who have concluded that—at least for them—the cure is turning out to be worse than the disease.

    —- No, struggling Americans are being exploited by cynical billionaires and political flacks, like you. It’s disgusting. you think death for them is better than a skeletal economy for your overlords? —-

    “These protesters aren’t rich or privileged,” says Stephen Moore, a Trump economic adviser. “Most are folks living paycheck to paycheck or small-business owners seeing their livelihoods destroyed, and they are the ones who are bearing the crushing burden of the lockdown in their states.” Mr. Moore says he’s formed an organization, Save Our Country, to help them ensure their voices are heard.

    —— ‘formed'? I would say led, then exploited. Does Stephen try to channel the Death Parties into relevant protest? No. He eggs them on. Because he knows it’s a small set of Covidiots even willing to chant these stupid things and risk their own lives and other's lives. The blowback is going to be massive. Get ready. We don’t care how much you apologize for these anti-American terrorists, we aren’t changing our minds. Stop shilling for the immoral corporations and think about what is right for Americans, not about what your paycheck depends on. —-

    Feeding the sense of grievance is not just the lockdowns but the way they have been imposed. Start with the overkill. This includes sheriff’s deputies arresting a paddle boater alone in the ocean off Malibu, Calif., city officials in San Clemente filling a popular skateboarding park with 37 tons of sand, and various states restricting big-box retailers from selling “nonessential items,” which means that you can get three scoops of chocolate chip from your local ice-cream shop but God forbid Home Depot sell you a bag of mulch.

    —- Boo Hoo. Anecdata. This opinion piece is non-essential, actually harmful. Socially distance yourself. People make mistakes. Look at you, shilling for a corporation! Because the rules aren't perfect, burn them down! —-

    Though it is common to portray the protesters as putting profits over public health, these are hardly wealthy investors worried about their portfolios. Unlike the roughly one-third of Americans who can work at home and still draw paychecks, for most Americans the lockdowns are more than an inconvenience. And the urgency of reopening looks very different for the 22 million American workers who have just lost their jobs—or the 1 in 4 small-business owners who, according to the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, say they are two months or less away from shutting down permanently.

    —- These Death Parties are organized by wealthy investors who are corporate funded and death indifferent. Immoral one might say. Yes, the shutdowns are more than an inconvenience. And government should be making sure we are all equally capable of living through it without harm. It’s immoral to tie healthcare to work. It’s immoral to have jobs with pay that won’t let you live. It’s immoral not to support small businesses with unemployment insurance and paid sick leave. The GOP is an immoral party. ——

    Ditto for the charge that they are antiscience. Surely we could all use a little more modesty. Any honest appraisal would have to concede there is much that scientists have gotten wrong (the many models whose estimates of, say, deaths and ventilators needed proved wildly off), and much we still don’t know (the true lethality of Covid-19, the average number an infected person will infect, and so on).

    —- Right! We don’t know and our president is trying to stop us from knowing. He's purposely screwing up testing. He never let a fact get in the way of his lying-for-popularity bullshit. The models are fine, the differences are in the assumptions and what they tell us about real life. You are a purposeful idiot here, purposely misunderstanding how science works to mislead your readers. One of the five signs you are a corporate shill. ---

    Medical officials haven’t always been right, either. In [early] January, Anthony Fauci, the immunologist who serves as a lead member of the president’s coronavirus task force, assured America that Covid-19 was “not something that the citizens of the United States right now should be worried about.”

    —- This is unconscionable bullshit. Dr. Fauci expected the US to follow the pandemic guidelines set up by Bush. If we had, we would have been fine, (See South Korea) but we didn’t! @realdonaldtrump so screwed up the response that we are the worst case of death and destruction in the world. Time to throw the #PlannedIncompetents out, not say the models are broken. Our @POTUS has almost always been indefensibly wrong because he depends on his 'gut'. He thinks: 'How can I take credit if it works? How can I assign blame if it fails?" And what do you do, William? You seem to follow scripts from your billionaire handlers. Who should we pay attention to? Corporate shills who are only after a buck or scientists who have methods for determining truth? It's not too hard to figure out, is it? —
    This is no slam on Dr. Fauci. To the contrary, this is the way science works, as experts revise and adjust to new information. But it should be a warning not to regard these experts as oracles or science as a source of unequivocal answers beyond dispute. Scientists should have doubts and continue to put their hypotheses to the test.

    —- You should have doubts about your ethics, William. Doubt is the seed immoral corporations sow to hide their death dealing ways. Smoking cigarettes don’t cause cancer. Burning fossil fuels doesn’t cause global warming. Fluorocarbons don't cause holes in the ozone. Belching sulfur from power plants doesn't cause acid rain... I’m very tired of this corporate shilling passing for conservative opinion. Who’s paying you?—-
    The protests remain relatively small [tiny, 0.00001 % of Americans]. But they do expose the elite disconnect with ordinary America. A recent New York magazine article captured the condescension and lack of empathy when it declared the protests are probably “going to spread nearly as rapidly as the coronavirus itself in the rich soil of anti-government subcultures where it’s widely accepted that ‘tyrants’ are exploiting the emergency to impose their godless socialist views on freedom-loving but fearful Americans.”

    —- Yes, this is being pushed by the media and their billionaire donors. Where was the publicity and support for modern day society when a million times as many people marched for women's right and the support of science? We heard and saw nothing but the conservative press making fun of the majority of Americans. Opinion pieces in the @WSJ supporting the greatest mass movement by Americans in the last century: zero. This piece is manufactured bullshit to support billionaires. There’s no two ways around it. It’s a manufactured PR stunt supported by immoral corporations using a bunch of angry dissatisfied Covidiots. ——

    A better sense of this subculture might be the words chanted by Kentucky protesters outside their governor’s office last week. Their outrageous message? “We want to work.”

    — Go to work. Do something reasonable. Protest responsibly, like the millions of Israelis who all wore masks and stood six feet apart to protest the Trump clone, Netanyahu. No, the message of these Covidiots is "we want to die and take others with us." It’s totally irresponsible and you're pushing it, William —-

    Write to mcgurn@wsj.com.

    Thanks for reading. I’m just one person, so can’t keep up with all the bullshit the @wsj and its billionaire owners and supporters spew out every day. Anybody want to help me counteract this immoral corporate PR blather that causes America harm? Drop me a line.
    -DrMike

    The Buddha’s not there.The Illusion of Truth

    ​ An Ode to Existence in the Prophetic Style. [The Multitheist’s Lament] Buddha looks inside himself and sees the void, the void is nothing....